Fast determination of moment tensors for the recent Molise (southern Italy) seismic sequence
S. Pondrelli2,
F. Di Luccio1,
E. Fukuyama3,
S. Mazza1,
M. Olivieri1 and
N. A. Pino1
1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, Rome, Italy
2Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, c/o Bologna University, Bologna, Italy
3NIED, Tsukuba-shi, Ibaraki-ken, 305, Japan
On October 31, 2002, at 10:32 UT, a strong earthquake of Mw=5.7 (Ml=5.4) struck the Molise region
in southern Italy. The earthquake caused the collapse of a school building,
with 28 casualties and major damages in hundreds of private buildings.
No relevant seismic event seems to have occurred
in the epicentgal region in the last 1000 years. The CPTI
catalogue (CPTI Working Group, 1999) reports only a few large earthquakes
in the surrounding areas (red squares in Figure 1):
- the 1125 earthquake in the immediate vicinity of the present sequence. Little is known about this event, that
might have reached Imax VIII-IX;
- the Apenninic sequence of December 1456, which caused heavy damages and reached MCS intensity Imax XI;
- the Gargano sequence of the summer of 1627, which also caused damages, assessed as Imax X;
- the July 1805, Matese earthquake, which produced effects up to Imax X.
Figure 1. Seismicity map of the Molise region (southern Italy). Stars indicate the epicentral location of October
31 and November 1 major events. Instrumental seismicity recorded by the
National Central Seismic Network since 1990 (IngNet
On Line -INGV Database) is shown with yellow circles for M<4 and
red circles for M>4 events. Red squares represent strong historical earthquakes that
occurred in the last 1000 years within 100 km from the present sequence
(CPTI, CPTI Working
Group, 1999; CFTI catalogue, Boschi
et al., 1997). Squares are scaled by event dimension: the 1627 event corresponds
to Imax X. For more information on the sequence, visit the
Molise
special web page at INGV.
The recent instrumental seismicity (Figure 1) is mainly distributed
in the inner Apennines, west of the present sequence, and in the Gargano
promontory to the east. No significant activity was detected in the present
epicentral area during last 12 years. Prior to the 2002 sequence, geological
and geophysical data did not evidence any active fault in the Molise region.
The Database
of Potential Sources for Earthquakes larger than 5.5 in Italy reports
only the Mattinata fault, an active structure in the Gargano Promontory,
with a possible past strike-slip motion. The present sequence is
roughly aligned with this structure, but there is no unequivocal evidence of connection
between the fault and the 2002 sequence.
Since the first night following the main shock,
INGV deployed 30 temporary 3-components stations in the epicentral area,
in collaboration with INOGS (Trieste) and Dipteris (University of Genoa)
(Figure 2). A description of the survey and first results can be found
at the web page Molise
special web page. The October 31 event has been followed by a similar
magnitude event on November 1 (15:09 UT, Mw=5.7; Ml=5.3) about 7 km farther
west, which caused additional damages but no casualties. According to the
locations of the permanent INGV seismic network, both events occurred at
a depth of about 20 km. At least 400 aftershocks, about 80 of which with
Ml>3.0, have been recorded during the temporal experiment, that ended in
December 2002. Preliminary locations, kindly provided by INGV National
Earthquake Center, predominantly align in a E-W direction (Figure 2).
Figure 2. a) Preliminary locations (blue dots) obtained with a subset
of data recorded by the temporary network, constitued by remote (black
triangles) and telemetered stations (green triangles). Stars indicate the
two major events. b) Three vertical cross-sections: E-W through main shocks
(left); N-S through the western November 1 main event (middle); and N-S
through the more eastern October 31 main event (right). Locations and figure
are courtesy of INGV National Earthquake Center.
Intermediate magnitude events often are destructive in Italy, due to
the age and poor quality of many buildings. Fast source parameter determination
is thus of prime interest to timely assess the potential damage and to
rapidly provide scenarios for the evolution of the seismic sequence.
Recent improvements in near-real time access to broadband data (MEREDIAN
Project, van Eck et al., 2002) now allow rapid moment tensor computation.
Since the 1997 Umbria-Marche seismic sequence, the Regional Centroid Moment
Tensor (RCMT) Project started at INGV in collaboration with the Harvard
University (Ekström et al., 1997; Morelli et al. 2000; Pondrelli et al., 2002) with the aim of computing
source parameters for large and intermediate
magnitude events in the Euro-Mediterranean area. The method, a modification
of the CMT technique (Arvidsson and Ekström,1998), inverts for intermediate
period surface waves (T>35 s) recorded at regional distances.
The regional waveforms allow moment tensor computation for events as small as Mw=4.5,
and in favorable circumstances we compute solutions even for Mw=4.0 events.
Figure 3. Broadband stations used for Molise earthquakes moment tensor
analyses. Stations directly available with MedNet facilities are in white, stations
available through the ORFEUS's
MEREDIAN project are shown in yellow.
We pay special attention to the fast computation of moment tensors. Even though it is not automated,
we quickly produce preliminary source parameters and publish the solution on the web at the
QRCMT site.
The data are primarily gathered from the MedNet
Network and additional data are collected from stations available on-line
from ORFEUS, thought the
MEREDIAN Project (van Eck
et al., 2002). For both the major events of the Molise sequence reliable
Quick RCMT were computed using data from a considerable number of stations
(Figure 3) and released within less than one hour. We also obtained QRCMT
solution for two Mw= 4.5 aftershocks.
Figure 4. Examples of comparison between data (solid) and synthetics
(dotted) computed by using the QRCMT solution, for the October 31, Mw=5.7
event. Source-to-station distances are 1.3 and 8.4 for AQU and GRFO respectively.
The resulting source mechanisms (Figures 4 and 5) display an almost
pure strike slip motion with conjugate planes oriented along NS and EW
directions, consistent with the aftershocks alignment. The
source depths of both main events is fixed to 15 km to solve for the small
uncertainties (2-3 km) around this value, obtained during waveform inversions.
Figure 5. Map showing the focal mechanisms obtained for the Molise
sequence. Purple dots are relocated aftershocks of the Molise sequence
(courtesy of the INGV National Earthquake Center). The red focal mechanisms
are the Quick
RCMT solution for the last Molise earthquakes, determined at INGV
immediately after major events. Black focal mechanisms are solutions obtained
by higher frequency (up to 0.05 Hz) waveform inversion (Fukuyama and Dreger,
2000). Both solutions could be computed for four events and are shown side
by side. Event data and Mw are reported next to each focal mechanisms of
the Molise sequence. Gray focal mechanisms on the background are from the
Harvard CMT
Catalog (Dziewonski et al., 2001) and from the
European-Mediterranean RCMT Catalog (Pondrelli et al., 2002), covering major earthquake activity
during the last 25 years in southern Italy. All focal solutions are scaled
by the magnitude, but gray focal mechanisms are one third smaller than
the others. The yellow line passing through the Gargano Promontory marks
the surface evidence of the Mattinata fault (
Database of Potential Sources for Earthquakes larger than 5.5 in Italy).
During this Molise sequence we had the opportunity
to test the automatic regional moment tensor determination procedure in
use at NIED (Fukuyama and Dreger,
2000; Kubo et al., 2002), based on the moment tensor estimation code written
by Dreger and Langston (1995). The algorithm searches for the combination
of the fundamental faults and focal depth that provides the best fit to
the recorded waveforms. The analysis is performed in the frequency range
0.02-0.05 Hz for M<5.0 and 0.01-0.05 Hz for M>5. In this frequency range,
the crustal heterogeneities have only minor influence on the moment tensor
inversion results. We used a single laterally homogeneous model (Table
1) representing a reasonable average for the source-to-station paths considered
in this study.
|
Vp (km/sec)
|
h
|
|
3.2
|
0.0
|
|
5.4
|
3.0
|
|
6.4
|
5.5
|
|
8.1
|
25.5
|
Table 1 - Velocity model used for broadband waveform modeling.
Besides for the two mainshocks of October 31 and
November 1, we also computed moment tensor solutions (MT) for several smaller
aftershocks, obtaining a reliable source mechanism even for events with
magnitude Mw=3.7. We used only MedNet data from the stations AQU, CII,
and AIO (Figure 3). Depending on event magnitude and data quality, we used
data from 1, 2 or all three stations. In Figure 5 the resulting moment
tensors are drawn, while Figure 6 shows a waveform fitting example along
with the associated focal solution. The comparison between QRCMT and MT
(red and black focal solutions in Figure 5, respectively) for the 4 major
events of the sequence shows a very good agreement, in spite of the different
methods, frequency ranges and stations used. Our
results for the two major shocks are very similar to the solution obtained
by the Harvard
University and the Swiss
Agency using global station distribution. A larger seismic moment (nearly
50%) has been reported by NEIC.
Figure 6. Observed and synthetic waveforms, and the resulting moment
tensor solution for the 02/11/02 23:27 aftershock (Mw = 4.3).
The Molise (southern Italy) seismic sequence started
on October 31, with the occurrence of a Mw=5.7 earthquake in the Apenninic
belt, closely followed by a similar magnitude on November 1. At the end
of December more than 400 events have been recorded
by the permanent and temporary networks. This sequence occurred in a region where, based on
historical and instrumental seismicity, no comparable earthquakes occurred
in the last 1000 years.
Focal depths and mechanisms of the Molise sequence aftershocks differ from
the characteristics of the seismicity located within the Apenninic chain
in southern Italy, where usually the earthquakes are shallow (within 10
km of depth) normal faulting events (gray focal mechanisms of Figure 5).
The 2002 Molise sequence, with hypocentral depths mainly between 10 and
20 km, appears to be confined to the lower parts of the crust. All focal
solutions show nearly pure strike-slip mechanisms with tensional axes oriented
NE-SW, roughly parallel to those of the normal faulting events in the southern
Apennines (Figure 5). With these characteristics, the Molise sequence shows
some similarities with the last Apenninic foredeep seismic sequence, occurred
on May 5, 1990, near Potenza (Mw=5.8), southern Italy. The entire 1990
sequence was characterized by similarly 20 km-deep, strike-slip events.
Both sequences occurred within the foredeep rather than within the Apennines chain.
During the Molise sequence, the aftershocks alignment
suggests that the rupture occurred on the EW plane of focal solution, resulting
in a dextral fault motion. The only known active structure in the general
area with similar kinematics is the Mattinata fault (Figure 5), located
in the Gargano Promontory, east of the region hit by the seismic sequence.
It is unknown if this structure is continuous with the Molise fault structure
beneath the sedimentary terrains that divise the Gargano Promontory and Molise.
Most material shown in the Introduction can also be seen on the
Molise
events special web page at INGV web site. Part of this work has been
produced during the visit of E. Fukuyama (NIED, Japan) at INGV in Rome,
during last November. Without the assistance of the MedNet Data Center
group these results could not have be obtained. Thanks to Claudio Chiarabba
and Massimo Di Bona (CNT-INGV) for providing aftershock locations and temporary
deployment information. All maps are produced with GMT (Wessel and Smith, 1993).
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